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My best guess:
a completely prep'd STU MS3 could probably get within about a second or less of the top running evo/sti's (50~ second/balanced course, etc, etc).

My first weekend of autocrossing the ms3 I was about 3 seconds off both the national STU runner-up and the national STUL winner. (and 2~ seconds off the top national folks running in STX).

My car is mostly stock with 235/40 Z1's. There was at least another half second out there in learning the car, and probably another second+ in getting the car prep'd (maybe more, impossible to say)....

I can say for certain though, it was a ton of fun flogging it around... best damn daily driven grocery getter money can buy!
 
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